First Indiana presidential poll shows leads for Trump, Clinton

INDIANAPOLIS (WOWO): The front runners lead the first presidential poll in Indiana, but just barely.

Donald Trump holds a slight lead over his Republican rivals in the survey commissioned by WTHR-TV and Howey Politics Indiana. 37 percent of respondents favor Trump, compared to 31 percent who support Ted Cruz and 22 percent who are behind John Kasich. The margin of error for the Republican part of the poll is 4.3 percent.

The Democratic primary race in Indiana is a virtual tie. Hillary Clinton has the backing of 48-percent of likely Democratic voters who were polled, compared to 45 percent who say they support Bernie Sanders. The Democratic margin of error is 4.47 percent.

The campaign in Indiana is expected to be heated leading up to the May 3rd primary, particularly on the Republican side. Trump would need to dominate the remaining states on the primary calendar in order to win enough delegates to secure a first-ballot nomination. Clinton is in a position to clinch the Democratic nomination even if she loses all of the remaining primaries before the convention.

The poll was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies between April 18-21. A base sample of 500 likely Indiana voters were surveyed, with both Republican and Democratic over-samples.


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